Prediction Markets

What the crowd is betting on.

Real-money prediction markets put a number on the questions everyone is arguing about. We read those numbers like a weather report: market-implied odds, not ours, and never advice.

These are market-implied odds from public prediction markets. The percentages reflect where real-money traders are placing bets: the crowd’s view, not ours. They shift constantly, they can be wrong, and a thin or disputed market can move on very little. We publish them for context and curiosity. This is not investment advice. Full disclaimer

About the board

What the crowd is betting on the names we publish: market-implied odds, not ours.

No real-money markets on our names right now.

The crowd rarely opens a betting market on one specific small name. When it does, that name’s ladder of odds shows up here. In the meantime, the macro board below tracks the bigger questions everyone is betting on.

The crowd bets. The Signal reads the market every morning.

Get the free daily forecast: the same desk that watches these questions, in your inbox before the open.

Free daily market forecast. No credit card. Unsubscribe anytime.

Source: public real-money prediction markets (Polymarket). Odds are the crowd’s view, not ours, and never advice.Updated through the day